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Published in Volume 7, Issue 3 - 8. May 2020

COVID–19 in Italia: una Percezione Amplificata del Rischio? [COVID-19 in Italy: an amplified risk perception?]

Carmine Cataldo

Affiliation: Independent Researcher, PhD in Mechanical Engineering, MD in Disciplines of Jazz and Improvisation (Jazz Piano), Battipaglia (SA), Italy

Keywords: COVID–19, Italia, Tasso di Letalità, Comorbilità, Lockdown, Lombardia [COVID-19, Italy, Case Fatality Rate, Comorbidities, Lockdown, Lombardy.]

Categories: Medicine

DOI: 10.17160/josha.7.3.670

Languages: Italian

In Italy, the perception of the risks related to COVID-19 may be considerably amplified. In this brief report we initially propose a realistic value for the Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19, obtained by taking into account hidden deaths and infections. Subsequently, the CFR is modified by considering age and comorbidities. In order to concretely weigh up the risks related to COVID-19, we also derive the CFR for smoking, road and domestic accident. A short section is dedicated to the Lombardy anomalous scenario.

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